ChatGPT suspected of developing Trump’s tariff formula
A theory is circulating that the U.S. administration may be using AI to design new trade tariffs. The formula matches one produced by the neural network.
A conspiracy theory is gaining traction online suggesting that the formula for new tariffs used by Donald Trump’s administration may have been generated by the ChatGPT neural network. The speculation began when users tested a prompt like “What is a fair way to calculate tariffs to offset trade deficits, with a minimum rate of 10%,” and the model produced a formula identical to the one allegedly used by the U.S. government:
Tariff (%) = (Trade Deficit with Country) ÷ (Imports from Country)
According to sources, this exact model is being applied to justify new duties under Trump’s economic nationalism strategy. The main goal is to equalize external economic conditions and eliminate the negative trade balance, which reached $918 billion in 2024.
Although there is no confirmed evidence that AI was used in shaping tariff policy, the match has sparked intense discussion in expert and media circles. Trump opponents argue that using artificial intelligence without contextual or expert analysis may lead to unpredictable consequences in global markets.
Supporters, on the other hand, highlight the pragmatism of the approach: a simple and understandable formula based on math reflects the principle of symmetric trade conditions. The formula is being actively discussed as part of the potential new U.S. economic strategy, which includes strict measures to reduce import dependency and reinforce protectionism.
No official confirmation has been made regarding AI involvement in trade policy design. However, the coincidence with ChatGPT’s response has fueled the already politically charged debate on the emerging wave of trade wars, which could impact dozens of countries and industries.
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